Who’s on top in the Golden Isles by-election?

With the Golden Isles by-election taking place on Monday, voters are not just choosing a candidate, but they are choosing between four very different political directions.

Brian Brown

On the Free National Movement side is Brian Brown, a familiar and deeply rooted candidate in the constituency. Brown previously served as campaign chair to the late Vaughn Miller, ran on the FNM ticket in 2021 and lost. But he kept his constituency office open and continued working on the ground.

Now, his candidacy has the full backing of former Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham.

Brown’s strongest appeal is his long-term presence and consistency. Supporters argue that he has already been serving the people, even without holding the seat.

Darron Pickstock

On the Progressive Liberal Party side is newcomer Darron Pickstock, who is campaigning on promises of upgrades to infrastructure, investment, and development. A PLP victory in Golden Isles would be seen as a strong public endorsement of Prime Minister Philip Davis’ leadership.

However, many critics question the timing of these promises, asking whether they came too late, and whether they would last beyond the campaign period.

Brian Rolle

Representing the Coalition of Independents (COI) is Brian Rolle, who is appealing to voters frustrated with the traditional two-party system. His message is rooted in empowerment, arguing that this election should be about returning power to the people, not political parties.

Karen Butler

Another independent candidate in the race is attorney Karen Butler, who is delivering a strong message about personal and economic independence. Butler said that no one’s livelihood should be tied to a political party, that Bahamians should not “eat when their party wins and starve when it loses.” Her message may resonate with voters who want fairness, and independence from party control.

So, who has the edge?

If voters prioritise history, familiarity, and loyalty to the constituency, Brian Brown appears strong.

If they lean towards governing power and future investment, Pickstock and the PLP could prevail.

If they want something different from the traditional political system, Rolle or Butler may prove to be the surprise and winning factor.

Voter turnout will certainly decide who wins.