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West End stands alone, but is it still a safe PLP seat?

West End Grand Bahama is entering this election cycle as a constituency reshaped by the Boundary Commission, and that makes it one to watch.

Once merged with the Berry Islands, the seat has now been divided, with West End standing on its own due to the size of the electorate.  Will voting patterns hold since the constituency is no longer combined?

Historically, the area has voted toward the Progressive Liberal Party, largely under the influence of longtime MP Obie Wilchcombe. With only a brief disruption in 2017, Parkesia Parker of the Free National Movement secured the victory. That win proved the seat could shift under the right conditions—based on the national mood, but the PLP reclaimed it in 2021.

Following Wilchcombe’s passing, Kingsley Smith won the 2023 by-election, giving the PLP continuation of the seat. Now, as the incumbent, he faces a new test in a redefined constituency against FNM candidate Omar Isaacs and Coalition of Independents candidate Toni Stubbs-Albury.

The split removes the Berry Islands from the equation, meaning past results may not translate directly. The voter base is now more concentrated and could be more unpredictable.

In addition, frustration with the two-party system continues to surface among voters, creating an opening for third parties like the Coalition of Independents. However, the real question is whether that sentiment will translate into actual votes on the ground in West End.