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Sink or swim: The flooding crisis that could unseat Myles Laroda in Pinewood

As the country approaches the May 12 general election, the political future of Myles Laroda in Pinewood may hinge on Pinewood’s stubborn, unresolved reality–flooding.

Laroda, the incumbent for the Progressive Liberal Party, is once again seeking the confidence of voters in a constituency that has long been considered a political battleground. Pinewood is not a safe seat but a swing constituency.

Flooding has persisted for years, disrupting daily life, damaging property, and testing the patience of homeowners who have repeatedly called for a permanent solution. For many voters, it is a personal, immediate and unresolved matter.

The Davis administration acknowledged the scale of the problem. Following severe flooding triggered by Tropical Storm Imelda, Philip Davis, along with Cabinet members including Laroda, descended on the area and pledged action. The government also announced plans for comprehensive flood remediation, with funding earmarked to address the issue.

However, for residents on the ground, the gap between announcement and execution remains a point of frustration. While temporary responses such as pumping trucks have been deployed during a period of heavy rainfall, a long-term fix has yet to materialize.

The political stakes are heightened by the narrow margin of Laroda’s 2021 victory, which was secured by fewer than 800 votes. In such a tightly contested constituency, flooding is a potential electoral point of contention.

The broader question for Pinewood voters is whether anything has been done during Laroda’s tenure to justify another term, or does the persistent issue of flooding signal a change in parliamentarian.

Is Pinewood really safe — or ready to switch again?

In Pinewood, it will not just be a two-man race. Incumbent PLP MP Myles Laroda is seeking another term, but he faces a challenge from FNM hopeful Denarri Rolle and third-party Coalition of Independents leader Lincoln Bain.

With flooding frustrations, shifting voter loyalty and third-party momentum, Pinewood could once again prove unpredictable. It has a history of switching hands between the PLP and FNM.

It will become a closely watched battleground heading into the general election.

In 2021, Myles Laroda secured the constituency for the Progressive Liberal Party with 1,712 votes. The Free National Movement candidate at the time earned 937, while Lincoln Bain received 641.

That appears to be a comfortable PLP margin.

But Pinewood’s history tells a different story.

The constituency has flip-flopped between the two major parties for more than two decades. In 2017, Reuben Rahming won the seat for the FNM, defeating PLP candidate Khaalid Rolle. Since 2002, Pinewood voters have alternated between the PLP and FNM, making it one of the more politically fluid constituencies in New Providence.

That trend alone resists the idea that it is a “safe seat”.

The 2021 numbers also reveal another layer–If you combine the FNM and COI totals from that election, the anti-PLP vote surpasses Laroda’s total. The numbers show a significant bloc of voters willing to choose an alternative.

This time, the FNM has introduced a new standard bearer—Denarri Rolle, who is campaigning heavily on flooding solutions and infrastructure reform. Bain is also back, appealing to voters frustrated with the two-party system.

Laroda enters as incumbent, with a Cabinet label and name recognition. But he also faces continued scrutiny over Pinewood’s long-standing flooding issues, even as a $20 million drainage plan has been announced. But nothing has happened.

So is Pinewood up for grabs? Politically, it may come down to turnout, voter frustration, and whether opposition votes split.

If history is a guide, Pinewood is not loyal to political parties.